[Rockhounds] Doesn’t look good for Turkey

[Paul]

In Doesn’t look good for Turkey

Jeffrey Joy jeffreyjoy at gmail.com posted:

https://www.reddit.com/r/geology/s/iQjzYi3Jwe

Geologists have already been there and done looked at that

hypothesis many times and repeatedly found nothing useful

for predicting earthquakes. Geologists can only wish if it

is that simple, but it is not.

That simple fact is that there is a 100 percent chance

that there will be more earthquakes in Turkey, including

Instanbu. That can be predicted by anyone. It is the same

as there is a 100 percent chance that a volcano will erupt

in Hawaii sometime in the future. The problem is

predicting the precisen time and magnitude of an

earthquake to be useful enough in order to shut down

infrastructure and allow people to seek shelter before it

happens.

Can the position of the moon or the planets affect seismicity?

Are there more earthquakes in the morning/in the evening/at

a certain time of the month? USGS - FAQ

https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat

Do planetary alignments affect Earth's seismic activity?

https://earthscience.stackexchange.com/questions/24846/do-planetary-alignments-affect-earths-seismic-activity

Is Turkey’s Istanbul ready for a major earthquake?

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/2/13/hold-analysis-is-istanbul-ready-for-a-strong-earthquake

"Huseyin Alan, chairman of the Chamber of Geological

Engineers, agreed: “A magnitude 7.0 or higher earthquake is

expected in Istanbul according to the data we have.”"

Geologist have long known it doesn't look good for Instabul.

Nobody just knows when.


Turkey’s next quake: USC research shows where it could happen — but not when

https://today.usc.edu/turkeys-next-quake-usc-research-shows-where-it-could-happen-but-not-when/


Yours,

Paul H.